F26/100

Is Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) a risky stock?

Sector: Aerospace & Defense Price: $18.40 Composite: 26/100

As of July 30, 2026, Clavix grades Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) F for risk, a composite score of 26 out of 100 on an A+ to F scale, which puts FLY in the "distressed" band. The grade is a risk read for educational purposes, not a buy or sell recommendation.

Grade as of July 30, 2026. Clavix regrades every trading day.

The five risk dimensions behind FLY's grade

Each Clavix grade is a composite of five independent reads. Higher is safer. Here is how FLY scores on each, as of July 30, 2026.

Financial healthbalance sheet, margins, cash flow
67
News sentimentscored, sourced recent coverage
0
Macro exposuresensitivity to rates, dollar, oil
30
Sector resiliencestrength vs the broad market
35
Price stabilitydrawdown and volatility
10

What's moving FLY's risk right now

Company-specific signals Clavix flags behind FLY's current grade, drawn from recent news and filings as of July 30, 2026.

Competition · raising risk

Skyroot's Vikram-1 became India's first privately built orbital rocket, and Agnikul plans to try recovering a reusable booster on its next flight next year. These new private launch firms add to global competition for small-launch work that Firefly also pursues.

Regulatory · mixed signal

Washington is working to cut red tape around U.S. launches, which could lower compliance costs and speed timelines for companies like Firefly. The same shift could let bigger rivals like SpaceX move faster, adding competitive pressure.

Competition · raising risk

China's Long March 10B reusable rocket test points to cheaper, faster launch capability abroad. U.S. commentators argue American private launchers, including Firefly, need looser rules to keep pace.

Recent FLY news

The latest headlines Clavix ingested for Firefly Aerospace Inc, newest first. These feed the news-sentiment dimension of FLY's grade.

What a F grade means

On the Clavix A+ to F scale, FLY's composite of 26 falls in the F band (0–34), read as "distressed." The scale is fixed, so the meaning never moves.

A+AA-B+BB-C+CC-D+DD-F
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This page is generated from Clavix's own risk model and is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell FLY or any security. Grades are risk indicators, not predictions of return. Data may be delayed.