A86/100

Is Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) a risky stock?

Sector: Energy Price: $418.05 Composite: 86/100

As of July 21, 2026, Clavix grades Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) A for risk, a composite score of 86 out of 100 on an A+ to F scale, which puts TPL in the "low risk" band. The grade is a risk read for educational purposes, not a buy or sell recommendation.

Grade as of July 21, 2026. Clavix regrades every trading day.

The five risk dimensions behind TPL's grade

Each Clavix grade is a composite of five independent reads. Higher is safer. Here is how TPL scores on each, as of July 21, 2026.

Financial healthbalance sheet, margins, cash flow
87
News sentimentscored, sourced recent coverage
67
Macro exposuresensitivity to rates, dollar, oil
69
Sector resiliencestrength vs the broad market
70
Price stabilitydrawdown and volatility
38

What's moving TPL's risk right now

Company-specific signals Clavix flags behind TPL's current grade, drawn from recent news and filings as of July 21, 2026.

Earnings & results · mixed signal

TPL announced July 15, 2026 as the date for its second-quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call. The company also filed an SEC 8-K material event report on July 10, 2026.

Valuation · mixed signal

TPL's upcoming earnings are positioned as a catalyst, but strong EPS growth expectations already appear priced in, raising the bar for a beat. One analysis says the stock looks expensive on cash flow, leaving limited margin of safety.

Demand · supporting the grade

TPL climbed more than 50% in the first half of 2026, helped by royalty revenue tied to oil and gas production in the Permian Basin. Rising commodity prices and demand from AI data center buildout in the region drove both revenue and land values higher.

What a A grade means

On the Clavix A+ to F scale, TPL's composite of 86 falls in the A band (80–100), read as "low risk." The scale is fixed, so the meaning never moves.

A+AA-B+BB-C+CC-D+DD-F
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This page is generated from Clavix's own risk model and is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell TPL or any security. Grades are risk indicators, not predictions of return. Data may be delayed.